#PeteButtigieg #Harris2024 #HarrisButtigieg2024 "William Hill this week offered 14/1 (6.7 percent) on Buttigieg running as the Democrats' vice presidential pick, but the odds improved to 4/1 (20 percent) as of 5 a.m. ET on Thursday."
Pete Buttigieg Emerges as a VP Favorite, According to Polls - Newsweek
If #Harris picks #Buttigieg (and I kinda hope she does in a selfish way) not sure if that will seal the deal that she loses or maybe wins?
Because goddamn...
If America elects it's first Black-Indian Female President married to a divorced Jewish husband (and who herself converted to Judaism even though she was raised Catholic Baptist) and picks a happily married gay Vice President not only would every conservative in this Country literally have a stroke (and claim that America has "lost its way") but man would that show just how progressive and liberal the US has turned.
I want her to pick Secretary Pete but I don't want her to pick Secretary Pete even more. Not because I don't think they can win, but because I don't think they can win.
(RNS) — She would be the first presidential candidate with a diverse personal religious and spiritual history that is now far more representative of America’s multi-faith makeup.
i think fundraising for politicians on fedi is a bit gauche when there are so many people in the #MutualAid hashtag who really need help
political parties full of billionaires with massive corporate donors don't need your contributions and a quarter million dollars is still absolutely nothing to them
trust me, that $20 is gonna mean more in the hands of the family struggling to put food on the table than it is for the presidential campaign of who-the-fuck-ever
Camping at Lake Somerville State Park. Lots of dense trees and bushes around each site, makes for nice privacy if anyone was actually here except me. Not pictured: the lake.
Biden was on a path to lose the election, because he prioritized swaying "independent" voters, over driving turnout and engagement for the people that have already decided that racism, fascism, and insurrection are bad (Black voters).
Future president Harris is on trajectory to win, because so far she's doing much better with the US democratic base (Black voters).
So when news covers polling of who should be VP, do you think they prioritize Black voters' pick? Or independent voters pick?
@SpaceLifeForm @mekka okereke :verified: I was about to correct this saying he couldn't be president according to the 22nd amendment, but he just can't be elected to the presidency again, it doesn't say he can't be elected VP and and then take over as president if need be. That said i don't think Obama want's anything to do with the presidency anymore.
What's wrong with Beshear? I think people in PA will like him just fine.
I really feel like this kind of poll is just about name recognition.
Did you know that a significant portion of voters had no idea the vice president was a Black woman? They are learning that now and getting to know her.
This is also part of why I hate plurality polls with more than two options.
Which of these is your _first_ choice with 100 options is going to create a very different signal and is basically always going to come down to name recognition and name retention.
An approval or a condorcet system wouldn't have this problem, but that's not what they use.
Whitmer is popular with Black voters, because she is a Dem who does not have many anti-Black policies. She actually keeps campaign promises to help all people, and doesn't do horrifically anti-Black things like most Dem candidates. 🤷🏿♂️
She treats Black people and white people the same, and she stands up to racists.
I can't really take this poll seriously, as it doesn't have Mark Kelly on it, who has a backstory that most presidents would dream of. Not just an astronaut. A commander of astronauts.
Politically, he significantly outperformed Biden in AZ, especially with Latino voters. He'd probably also deliver Nevada, and would resonate well in rust belt states, esp. when talking jobs.
Also, doesn't hurt that if you went to central casting for a POTUS, he'd be there, staring back at you.
@Mark Kraft @mekka okereke :verified: Kelly will almost certainly not be chosen anyway because we can't risk losing even one senate seat. Yes he's great but that is purely why he's perfect for the senate in AZ. If he became VP its up in the air if a dem or republican would replace him. Governors and mayor pete are sure bets because they have Lt Govs ready to step up if they leave.
@Ed Wilk 🇺🇦 @Mark Kraft @mekka okereke :verified: Yes his seat will be appointed but there is no guarentee that the person appointed can win that seat. Kelly holds that seat very strongly. Like Sherrod Brown being love in ohio in spite of it going almost exclusively red, risking a seat in hopes that the the person the gov appoints can win it again is a big risk when we are holding the senate by the skin of our teeth.
@anubis2814 @KraftTea I'm not super familiar with Arizona law, but if Mark Kelly left the senate, wouldn't Katie Hobbs just appoint another democrat to serve out his term?
@Andy Reitz @Mark Kraft @mekka okereke :verified: She would, and that would only be til 2026. And its anyone's guess if the person could keep his seat. Kelly has that seat locked in if he's kept there.
“Between 118,000 and 248,000 more Americans would have survived the Pandemic if all states had followed some restrictions practiced in Northeastern states, according to a new JAMA study.”
This cross-sectional study uses state-level mortality and population data for 2020 to 2022 to determine whether the strength of state COVID-19 restrictions were associated with excess pandemic deaths in the US.
“Between 118,000 and 248,000 more Americans would have survived the Pandemic if all states had followed some restrictions practiced in Northeastern states, according to a new JAMA study.”
This cross-sectional study uses state-level mortality and population data for 2020 to 2022 to determine whether the strength of state COVID-19 restrictions were associated with excess pandemic deaths in the US.
Could be a toss up as to which happens first, Vance being forced out as soon as he becomes a clear liability, or Trump dropping dead from one too many cheeseburgers,
@Sir Rochard 'Dock' Bunson If he's in cinci he's in the toehills of appalacha Like if I said I was from Chicago and lived 2 miles from it. I grew up in southern Indiana, also toe hills. i don't consider myself Appalachia.
Anybody know what's going on with proudrebels.me? Is it permanently offline or is it just a temporary thing? I've got over 2500 messages queued up for it on one of my other instances!
If #Harris picks #Buttigieg (and I kinda hope she does in a selfish way) not sure if that will seal the deal that she loses or maybe wins?
Because goddamn...
If America elects it's first Black-Indian Female President married to a divorced Jewish husband (and who herself converted to Judaism even though she was raised
CatholicBaptist) and picks a happily married gay Vice President not only would every conservative in this Country literally have a stroke (and claim that America has "lost its way") but man would that show just how progressive and liberal the US has turned.I want her to pick Secretary Pete but I don't want her to pick Secretary Pete even more. Not because I don't think they can win, but because I don't think they can win.
Edit: Apparently Harris was raised Baptist, not Catholic. I stand corrected.
#USpol#Harris#Trump#Harris2024#Election2024
Kamala Harris' multi-religious identity is a map of the future
Yonat Shimron (RNS)